Thursday, 26 May 2016

Company restructure 26.5.2016

In the painful midst of a company restructure...

You, O Lord, laid the foundations of the earth in the beginning, and the heavens are the work of Your hands.
They-- will perish, but You-- remain.
They-- will *all* wear out like a garment, like a robe, You will roll them up, like a garment they will be changed.
But You-- are the same, immutably unchanged, and Your years -- will have no end....

For You are the One who loves righteousness, and hates wickedness, therefore God -- who is Your God -- was sure to anoint You with the oil of gladness and joy way way beyond Your companions.

In Your decrees I walk.

Thursday, 19 May 2016

Insurance Motor Claims - Operational Efficiency: A Christian reflection

Hi guys,
I realised that I haven't blogged here for a while.
To refresh our momentum, here's something fresh!

So in the time between the last post and now, I've moved on from an Actuarial role to a Finance role in Claims Decision Support, working on Motor Claims Insurance as sort of a linking agent between the Finance department (who talk budgets, forecasts, expenses, FTE all day every day), and the Motor Claims Assessing Operations (the function that really hit the ground, interact with the customers, get the cars fixed, deal with repairer performance, supplier performance etc etc rubber hits the road).

Because as you've already guessed, they don't talk the same language and getting them into a meeting to have any meaningful conversations be like 'what the?' LOL. Ok let's give some of them more credit than others but the education journey persists.

I've been in Decision Support for 2 years now, from being a rookie who faced the computers doing Incurred Chain Ladders to predict how much the impact of systems migration have affected claims cost, to now being someone who advises on questions like why is our Average Total Loss Cost so low and our Total Loss proportions so high? Is it right? What can we do about it?

In the short 2 years I've also seen a complete overhaul of our claims systems and just about every claims process you can imagine... all done consecutively month after month -- from an actuarial point of view -- this makes performance tracking very difficult as there's not enough time in between events to really gauge the true level of the impact that each change has in isolation from a financial perspective. Especially when there's seasonality.

Every time we look at our claims operations and say that there's inefficiency. So we spend a lot of money overhauling the entire system, restructuring our managerial model... change this change that, but at the end of the day, we seem to just be looking for a bigger bandaid to fix the same wound, which, by now needs surgical attention. If you're looking at a 7-8% (say) higher than general inflation magnitude of cost increase over time... might not be much but including inflation comes to about 10%... that is $400 on a $4000 vehicle repair say... and do it in bulk -- the numbers add up...

We hope for ways to improve costs and expect the new system to fix everything for us.

At the end of the day, after the value that the processes changes are supposed to make and the value of a different management structure -- the underlying issue is still not solved -- and that is because the real leakage of value is in the residual value (i.e. not all those big changes, at least not just) -- but the core of the leakage is in the residual value -- the small things. The micro cost saves on challenging each repairer to do their job properly and charge us a fair amount. Micro cost saves from changing the method of repair
Micro challenging each repairer on every repair quote to ensure that we as an insurance company are paying for the right repairs and the right items are present in the right quote (without random added job scope that are unrelated to the accident). And to be really effective you have to change the culture of your internal staff/assessors to be ice sharp when it comes to scrutiny of each quote and also to adopt the same values & view of operational efficiency as you do and deal with repairers fairly but ruthlessly if they try to play up.

And the ability to ensure that the right decision is done by our internal functions for the end to end insurance value chain in these small things in order that residual value can be optimised so that we have the confidence that our operations are as lean as it can be -- that is somewhat harder and less visible to ensure and track, and a much harder journey to go on as its nature is ongoing.

K.I.S principle still applies -- Keep It Simple. Sometimes, the most value comes out of the simplest solutions. Why is that so hard to believe?

Thursday, 27 November 2014

Fantastic Generalised Linear Model GLM Introduction Lecture Video on Youtube

Just came across a fantastic GLM introduction lecture that explains the "what they mean" logic wholistically.

Check it out here:

Saturday, 25 October 2014

Work, the Christian, and Resilience - incl Freelance Project Websites and Resources

According to Jacob Morgan, Freelancing will make up about 50% of the future global workforce in the future.


I'd presented at AY today the realities of the future of work for our younger generation (and also potentially for anyone working atm). 

Presentation in PDF attached, and I'd also showed the Jacob Morgan video as well (a 1min snippet of it anyway).

To illustrate the need for resilience in times of change and the Holy Spirit as our Paraclete that will enable us to be courageous, dare to try and be a survivor/conqueror. And most importantly, keeping our head clear and focused and not drift away with the rest of the world by anchoring in our Triune God so that at the end of all these, it will lead to salvation and enter His new Kingdom that is to come.

Friday, 1 August 2014

Sovereignty Top Priority. Not condemnation but Repentance



Esther, you get me. 
I don't want to condemn anyone,
But I really need them to repent (to be able to enter the Kingdom). 2.8.14, 7.17am, sat morning prayer time response.

A subject of The Kingdom, O Lord, will give your sovereignty -- top priority.

Thursday, 31 July 2014

Kingdom of God is like a bit of yeast

Kingdom of God is like a bit of yeast
You never know which of God's Word u and Holy Spirit said caused someone to hear something that pierced through 扎心 sword to their heart. But after a while, the yeast spread throughout the whole 3 measures of floor, and the lifeless lump grows and teems with life, yeast works through the whole dough, till it is ready to be used to make beautiful delicacies. As does the person.

Any person who had been taught in God's laws and who teaches it, who has been educated and instructed in the Kingdom is like an owner of the house, bringing out new treasures along with the old

Matt13

First formal kingdom recruit

Went to CW's house and recruited formally. He recruited one more subject before the end of the first financial year! That's good, there's then plenty of time in the rest of the year for learning, sets us up good to meet budget.

And as wages and friendship, I was treated to yummy healthy unagi udon, home cooked.

#IAmSoHappy. 
#ThankyouForDoingThatForMeEsther
#WeDidItTogether #Matt4:12TillEnd
#IfThereIsAPartyWhereIsMyCake