Happy Monday morning! ^_^ Monday food

I used to think that holiness was such a drag,impossible to achieve, too hard to get. It is hard to keep, and I lose it the moment I sin, but hey what joy it brings when I know I am fully in Him-- it forms the source of my motivation to keep ploughing on. I can't say I'm like Him if I don't first reflect His most important quality, but when I do, the other flavors of the fruit of the Spirit follow suite. to keep from losing it, can't do it by myself, but only by the power and literal abiding of the Holy Spirit. I realised more this morning that in order to provide for my bros and sis's in Christ in the weekend, I need that holiness in the weekday, so that I can have a guilt free conscience, and always have an overflowing abundance of living water to both drink from myself and have enough to forward to my friends. Encouraging you to keep powering on today and don't lose heart, if yesterday didn't work, we can always try again today. Afterall, today is a brand new day, and every hour today a new one than yesterday's. Happy Monday morning, everyone! ^_^ Keep those smiles coming.

It. Can. Work.

Haven't been blogging lately cuz I've been super busy, but one thing got me very excited today---

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I got very excited today. #ItCanWork.

Jesus' evangelism model/instructions -- Go in pairs, when you enter a town and are welcomed, eat what is offered to you. (And, the rest is simple, just--- ) heal the sick who are there and tell them, ‘The kingdom of God has come near to you.’ (and don't forget to) raise the dead, cleanse those who have leprosy, drive out demons. Freely you have received; freely give. Show them the Kingdom first, then tell them the Kindgom.

The seventy-two returned with joy and said, “Lord, even the demons submit to us in your name.”

He replied, “As you were working in field, I was watching Satan fall like lightning from heaven. I have given you authority to trample on snakes and scorpions and to overcome all the power of the enemy; nothing will harm you. However, do not rejoice that the spirits submit to you, but rejoice that your names are written in heaven.”

...... <Then Jesus got excited,, because He realized the plan can work>>.............

At that time Jesus, full of joy through the Holy Spirit, said, “I praise you, Father, Lord of heaven and earth, because you have hidden these things from the wise and learned, and revealed them to little children. Yes, Father, for this is what you were pleased to do.

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Esther's notes: I was excited by the continuous tense for the word "beheld/ watch" in Jesus's reply. Most Bible translations translate that as past tense, but actual greek uses continuous -- meaning as we go out to evangelise the way Jesus said, Satan's power in heaven gets eroded. And they fight back. The picture presented is one of continuous contest to gain market share/ territory in heaven, even though Satan was once chucked out of heaven and outcasted to earth. And if we don't fight against them or get slack on our part then they gain market share, and this back and forth will continue until he gets finally chucked out in Revelation 12, and chucked away as mentioned in Revelation 20.

I am excited because -- Christ's model did work, and can work today. We just gotta do it. It ain't workin' out for us cuz we don't do it this way these days -- show Kindgom then tell Kindgom. These days we only tell Kindgom and don't show Kingdom.

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In Context (of sending out disciples) ---

Matt 10 These twelve Jesus sent out with the following instructions: “Do not go among the Gentiles or enter any town of the Samaritans. Go rather to the lost sheep of Israel. As you go, proclaim this message: ‘The kingdom of heaven has come near.’ Heal the sick, raise the dead, cleanse those who have leprosy, drive out demons. Freely you have received; freely give.

Luke 10 After this the Lord appointed seventy-two[a] others and sent them two by two ahead of him to every town and place where he was about to go. He told them, “The harvest is plentiful, but the workers are few. Ask the Lord of the harvest, therefore, to send out workers into his harvest field. Go! I am sending you out like lambs among wolves. Do not take a purse or bag or sandals; and do not greet anyone on the road.

“When you enter a house, first say, ‘Peace to this house.’ If someone who promotes peace is there, your peace will rest on them; if not, it will return to you. Stay there, eating and drinking whatever they give you, for the worker deserves his wages. Do not move around from house to house.

“When you enter a town and are welcomed, eat what is offered to you. Heal the sick who are there and tell them, ‘The kingdom of God has come near to you.’ But when you enter a town and are not welcomed, go into its streets and say, ‘Even the dust of your town we wipe from our feet as a warning to you. Yet be sure of this: The kingdom of God has come near.’ I tell you, it will be more bearable on that day for Sodom than for that town.

The seventy-two returned with joy and said, “Lord, even the demons submit to us in your name.”

He replied, “I saw Satan fall like lightning from heaven. I have given you authority to trample on snakes and scorpions and to overcome all the power of the enemy; nothing will harm you. However, do not rejoice that the spirits submit to you, but rejoice that your names are written in heaven.”

...... <Then Jesus got excited>>.............

At that time Jesus, full of joy through the Holy Spirit, said, “I praise you, Father, Lord of heaven and earth, because you have hidden these things from the wise and learned, and revealed them to little children. Yes, Father, for this is what you were pleased to do.

Actuarial Concept: Why we use Then basis triangles for Incurred Chain Ladder (ICL) and Now basis for Projected Case Estimates (PCE) || Cut off point PPCF vs PCE for Direct / Represented claims

8/10/2013

Why do we use Then basis triangles for Incurred Chain Ladder (ICL) and Now basis for Projected Case Estimates (PCE)??

Ans (courtesy of TL):

Because for ICL, the chain ladder requires the full history of the claim to be able to project the trend. So the Then basis has all the development (or transitions) included in the triangle for that particular segment. (e.g. Reported as Large and how each of the large claims have developed).

As for the PCE, it is all about the most recent view of case estimates and the proportion that we  are going to pay out, so the transitions don't matter as much.

So the now basis triangles – which is the most up to date view of the segment, gives us exactly what we need (i.e. most up to date view of the case estimates for that segment). And that's why we use now triangles for PCE.

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8/10/2013

In our small then models, we use PCE for old periods and PPCF for new periods. The question is what is the cut off point/ when do we switch over from one model to the other? Xuan noticed that we had different cut off points for Direct claims vs Legally Represented claims.

ANS (courtesy of TL):

Legally represented claims usually take longer to resolve, sometimes because the claim is more complicated, and also cuz lawyers and etc make the process harder/longer. So we typically expect represented claims to finalise/settle slower. Whereas direct claims usually resolve quicker and settle for less $$, so if we go with the mindset that PCE is used for "old claims" with more development and PPCF for "newer claims" with lesser development, we would expect the number of accqtrs for PCE would be longer for the DIRECT than that for the REPRESENTED. (i.e. less "recent qtrs." Attributed to the PPCF for directs, and more for represented), since for the directs, the new claims get "older" (i.e. resolve) faster.

TL's tactic was to look in the Accyr PPCF model and look at 2010_2011 Fyr and see how much of that has already settled,  along with the payment pattern by the time it comes to about 19 qtrs (that's how long the PPCF is used for atm) – 82% already is finalised according to payment pattern, and about 97% of claims are already finalised in the accyr model from 2010_2011. (currently we are in 2013_14) So TL recommended we use no more than 3 yrs worth for PPCF, and then PCE from that point and back in time.

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不要多人作師傅、乃要多人謙卑學習真道。 傳自己信的。 傳真的道。

哈嘍，

本來是PO在自己網頁上的，只是覺得這裡面的話有可能能夠激勵、勉勵和肯定弟兄姐妹們，所以轉貼在這————

————————————————————————————————————

跟隨基督的朋友們，我們傳福音的時候，總要小心。用詞應當正確、精準，傳自己懂的，不要傳自己不懂的；傳自己深信的，不要傳自己不信的；傳真實的，不要隨意取出聖經的幾節經文然後編出自己的一套故事；自己不清楚的就承認不清楚；聖經沒講的就不要自己亂講，也不要說聖經或神有說。

不要害人因為你講的錯，他們對主的認識就跟著你錯一生。

所以不要當瞎眼的領其他瞎眼的走路，總要細心查明上帝的旨意然後盡心地用上帝的話勸導、教誨、幫助、責備、鼓勵 弟兄姐妹們。

"不要多人作師傅，因為曉得我們要受更重的判斷。" （雅各3：1）

少一點人作師傅、多一點人謙卑學道。

朋友們，我們當清楚明白：我們必須為每一句說出來的話向永生的主負責，所以不要在不懂的時候自以為懂—— 反要謙卑存溫柔的心聆聽真道—— 因為時候將到： 栽種在你心裡的道必定茁壯、長成堅固的，使你自然的能夠把上帝活的道 正確的 分享於身旁的人，完成大使命了。

當自己真的懂得好一些，但是還是不太懂另一些的時候，我們當肯定並勇敢地傳講懂的那部分、不懂的那部分先繼續謙卑的學習，先不傳 直到自己清楚了； 或當逼不得已 在事奉中沒有別的人可以問，而必須教的時候 —— 就算說了也要讓人知道其實你不大清楚：也勸人，要是發現你講的不對，就要忘掉你教的，推翻掉你的話，而返回聖經 (forget me, go back to the Bible)、歸順真理的神並祂正確的啟示。

更要明白—— 一切誠實真確美善的都是從眾光之父而來的

一切謊言、假的都是從那抵擋基督的來的。

所以，在我們的言語、也在我們傳道和講明神的道給我們周圍的人的時候，我們更當小心—— 照著上帝純全的啟示去說，不要在口上給魔鬼留地步而趁你過意隨便講論神的道而用你的口所出的話去迷惑眾人。

同樣一句話，可以叫一個人親近真理的神，也可以使一個人漸加離神更遠。我們要當助人親近神的那等人—— 就要小心自己的言語。要人信服你的話，就肯定自己：只講真的。因為唯有真的才永遠不可能被推翻。免得從你的話中顯出你的愚昧來。

Jesus Christ vs Christ Jesus -- whom do we preach? 耶稣基督， 跟 基督耶稣 我��哪一位？

我们常常传耶稣基督。
但是我们何曾传过基督耶稣？

耶稣—基督， 跟
基督—耶稣，
这其中的差别何等的大呢！

使徒保罗就清明这一点，所以他传的道是带着真能力的。读提摩太后书时，留意他的用词，看看他在什么情况下用 耶稣基督，又在什么情形下用基督耶稣。

基督— 是三位一�的上帝的第二�位格的主。
耶�— 是�基督道成肉身的�候，�baby�始命的名。

用���念去看看提摩太後�吧！

I was listening to the audio Bible during devotion on the train yesterday 3Apr13, and have been listening to the New Testament for a while. One thing which struck me was that in our churches, we always preach "Jesus Christ", "Jesus Christ", and the unbelievers have even used that as a swear word, in blasphemy. However, apostle Paul's use of Christ Jesus, which is the same two words but flipped over, in the second letter he wrote to his adopted son Timothy was interesting. Just when I thought he never used "Jesus Christ", suddenly, he used it. So he used "Christ Jesus" approx twice, then used "Jesus Christ" once, and then flipped back to using "Christ Jesus". 

That meant that apostle Paul was someone who used his language very carefully, as I sometimes do when writing very specific, exact emails at work to send out to other external business stakeholders.

Thinking about that idea, and looking at in which circumstance he used "Christ Jesus" and "Jesus Christ", I realised that he only used "Jesus Christ" when specifically talking about the incarnation and Jesus' death and resurrection/salvation. Other times, Paul referred to Christ -- as the second figure of the Trinity, in all His original glory, His eternity, and also His return to heaven and the glory He attained after His victory through resurrection.

So it is appropriate to think, when Paul refers to "Christ Jesus" as
"The Christ -------- *insert footnote*: btw, also the incarnated Jesus.", as if looking from the wide end of the telescope who is Christ to the narrow end of the telescope who is Jesus.

And to think of "Jesus Christ" as---
"the human Jesus who was borne of Mary ------- *insert footnote*: btw, don't forget He is actually the Christ", as if looking from the narrow end of the telescope to the wide end to see, that beyond his short life on earth, don't forget that the Eternal One is who is really Is.

O, what difference when we think of our saviour as Christ Jesus! What majesty, what glory, that encourages our hearts to follow Him ever more the faithfully!!!!!

Truly, it is like Paul says in 2Cor5: From now on, therefore, we regard no one according to the flesh. Even though we once regarded Christ according to the flesh, we regard him thus no longer.

The truth about Hell and why Christians spread Salvation - what are we being slavaged from? 基督徒為什麼傳福音？Basics about Christianity

若你是個基督徒，以下這篇是給你的。

如果你不是個基督徒，又被基督徒們煩得很，什麼救恩，什麼三位一體，什麼十字架的荒唐道理像說書一樣，那麼這篇是給你的—— 其實講道重點就是很懇切地不想要你去到那個叫地獄的那個沒有水、沒有好的地方。



在許多的講道和聖經分享中，有的時候我們被夾在很多的理論、問題、思想，卻忘了大體。在祂面前我們認罪，並宣告我們對祂的敬重和畏懼、並對祂的效忠------拿一生來證明我們的忠誠。因為祂是我們的王。親愛的兄弟姐妹們，請問，你的主有多大？親愛的兄弟姐妹們，請問，你的主有多大？我們這些知道地獄的存在和苦的人，讓我們真真的因為愛我們周圍的人，就告訴他們這些事實，使到我們周圍的人們不會忽然間走到生命的盡頭發現他們竟然被丟在地獄裡而又沒有人事先告訴他們而嚇到——那時已經太晚了！！！ 因為有很多人就像我們一樣，忙著建立事業、忙著讀書、忙著賺錢、忙著排隊、忙著戀愛、忙著滿足一切的慾望和飽食。。。而就忽略了救恩，並且並不知道說他們現在的路的終點竟然是一個懸崖！！！而要是不趁還在肉體裡活著有機會的時候去改變腳下的方向的話就有比現在能感受到、更激烈的折磨和痛苦等著他們，並且是沒有希望的--- 因為永遠也逃不出去！


讓我們不要忘記最基本的根本--明天就是受難節了，在這受難節和復活節期間，讓我們記得人類為什麼需要救恩，讓我們回想我們是怎樣信的，並且認罪，從心打底地後悔以前犯過的罪並改過，也記得我們為什麼要急切誠懇的去！使萬民作主的門徒。讓我們記念的耶穌不是一位對大家都很寬容、很溫柔、很沒力的好好先生——祂雖然曾一度騎著驢駒子進耶路撒冷，但是那個時期已經過了！！而是記得：下一次來的祂：是那位騎這將軍元帥的白馬，率領全軍擊殺一切抵擋祂的 --- 並叫他們全軍覆沒，以致屍首遍地，成為老鷹和飛鳥的宴席的 --- 的這位以色列的至-聖-者.


因為關心我們生命周圍的人，我們真的是有必要告訴他們---- 一位公義的（和三位一體的）上帝（三位一體的聖父）故意將祂自己（三位一體的聖子）釘在十字架上死了，因為要代替抗了你我的罪，而又復活了 ---- 就只有這位上帝 有夠力量能夠救你我脫離上帝對罪的憤怒和地獄的火。而只要相信這是真的，並且後悔自己平身所犯的一切罪，並立志因為這位上帝耶穌而離開罪惡，永遠不重蹈複測，又去找教會讓牧師用水給你洗禮，又求父上帝（聖父）藉著基督（聖子），用三位一體之聖靈（上帝的靈）給你洗禮並在你裡面居住、 並忠心守這道致死，你就能得永遠逃脫地獄，和永遠稱為乾淨的，並且成為上帝這大君王的領養兒女，與三位一體的祂一同享受政權。








In amongst all the preaching and testimonies and sharing of faith, sometimes it is very easy for us to get caught up in pesky little details, and arguments on different doctrines/theologies.In amongst all the preaching and testimonies and sharing of faith, sometimes it is very easy for us to get caught up in pesky little details, and arguments on different doctrines/theologies.But tomorrow is Good Friday. And this Good Friday, let us revise and not forget the basic facts;Let us remember what forms the core of our faith this Easter and why there is an urgency for us to spread the way out.Let's Praise God for good Friday, and magnify the Lord through Easter. Let us remember Christ not as "gentle Jesus, meek and mild", but the conqueror who will come very soon in a white army horse to slay all who are against Him and to judge every human that ever walked the earth. Let us restore fear and reverence unto Him for He is Life. Let us restore allegiance in a pledge to use our entire life to proof our faith in faithfulness. For He is our King.My dear brothers and sisters in Christ, may we each ask ourselves -- "How big is my Lord?"Let's Praise God for good Friday, and magnify the Lord through Easter. Let us remember Christ not as "gentle Jesus, meek and mild", but the conqueror who will come very soon in a white army horse to slay all who are against Him and to judge every human that ever walked the earth. Let us restore fear and reverence unto Him for He is Life. Let us restore allegiance in a pledge to use our entire life to proof our faith in faithfulness. For He is our King.My dear brothers and sisters in Christ, may we each ask ourselves -- "How big is my Lord?"My dear brothers and sisters in Christ, may we each ask ourselves -- "How big is my Lord?"My friends, don't Bible bash the unbelievers. Just let them know. Let them know that this is real.


And knowing Hell, let us, out of love and a genuine concern tell those around us about this reality, so that they do not unknowingly get caught in shock at their ending. For many of those around us and even we ourselves sometimes forget and just tread on with life, building a career, raising a family, party, enjoy life.... not knowing that the road ends in a sharp cliff and there is destruction awaiting us -- if we do not take active steps to change the course of our paths right now while we are still alive.


My friends, don't Bible bash the unbelievers. Just let them know. Let them know that this is real.

A new found anger and hatred - Hell hath no fury greater than this

Today, I caught my boyfriend in a photo standing closely and intimately with another ... girl. Not even a woman is she, for she, despite looking pretty, is not mature nor weathered by the pains of society. A little viper is she, who looks pretty on the outside but inside hath no love, no patience, no respect for those elder than her (as seen in previous occassions in her behaviour towards others) which could only mean she knows not her place. A little, useless, self-righteous thing that knows a lot of Bible knowledge but yet hath no life living in her heart.

When in me I found love, I also found a new anger and a new hatred. How zealous am I for purity!

I understand the saying now that "Hell hath no fury greater than this."

I will bring this case against him to my Father. I will pour out before Him all his inequities.

I will see my Father fulfill the case against him and bring unto him the rightful punishments.
I will see my Father restore integrity and purity in righteousness within him.

And may my Father do something for me, and pull the reins within his heart.

May he repent and start setting up walls of distance between himself and other women in order to preserve integrity and preserve himself for me and me only.

May my Father do something for me,

Lest I do something for myself.

Lest I do something for myself like reverting the position of control and being the head and stripping him off all authority that he may never ever stand again.

Afterall, he deserves it. But I still hope he keeps his birthright. And keeps his crown his own.

And as for the girl, how shall I deal with her?

Will I, Your princess, bother myself with such a human, my Lord? Just from the fury in my eyes will she vanquish.

I now understand what it means when Revelation says about Jesus Christ having eyes that are blazing like fire. For in the same manner are mine, though His is most intense.

Revelation 1

I turned around to see the voice that was speaking to me. And when I turned I saw seven golden lampstands, and among the lampstands was someone like a son of man,^[d]dressed in a robe reaching down to his feet and with a golden sash around his chest. The hair on his head was white like wool, as white as snow, and his eyes were like blazing fire. His feet were like bronze glowing in a furnace, and his voice was like the sound of rushing waters. In his right hand he held seven stars, and coming out of his mouth was a sharp, double-edged sword. His face was like the sun shining in all its brilliance.

When I saw him, I fell at his feet as though dead. Then he placed his right hand on meand said: "Do not be afraid. I am the First and the Last. I am the Living One; I was dead,and now look, I am alive for ever and ever! And I hold the keys of death and Hades.

"Write, therefore, what you have seen, what is now and what will take place later. The mystery of the seven stars that you saw in my right hand and of the seven golden lampstands is this: The seven stars are the angels^[e] of the seven churches, and the seven lampstands are the seven churches.

Revelation 2: To the Church in Thyatira

"To the angel of the church in Thyatira write:

These are the words of the Son of God, whose eyes are like blazing fire and whose feet are like burnished bronze. I know your deeds, your love and faith, your service and perseverance, and that you are now doing more than you did at first.

Nevertheless, I have this against you: You tolerate that woman Jezebel, who calls herself a prophet. By her teaching she misleads my servants into sexual immorality and the eating of food sacrificed to idols. I have given her time to repent of her immorality, but she is unwilling. So I will cast her on a bed of suffering, and I will make those who commit adultery with her suffer intensely, unless they repent of her ways. I will strike her children dead. Then all the churches will know that I am he who searches hearts and minds, and I will repay each of you according to your deeds.

Now I say to the rest of you in Thyatira, to you who do not hold to her teaching and have not learned Satan's so-called deep secrets, 'I will not impose any other burden on you, except to hold on to what you have until I come.'

To the one who is victorious and does my will to the end, I will give authority over the nations— that one 'will rule them with an iron scepter and will dash them to pieces like pottery'^[b]—just as I have received authority from my Father. I will also give that one the morning star. Whoever has ears, let them hear what the Spirit says to the churches.